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Japanese Money Tree, The: How Investors Can Prosper from Japan's Economic Rebirth

  • By Andrew H. Shipley
  • Published Feb 9, 2007 by FT Press.
    • Copyright 2007
    • Dimensions: 6x9
    • Pages: 288
    • Edition: 1st
    • Book
    • ISBN-10: 0-13-234390-8
    • ISBN-13: 978-0-13-234390-9
    • eBook
    • ISBN-10: 0-13-134795-0
    • ISBN-13: 978-0-13-134795-3

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Front Flap

 

For over a decade, investors shunned Japan, which had been stuck in an economic quagmire. But reforms have unleashed the world’s second largest economy. Andrew H. Shipley’s The Japanese Money Tree challenges the stale conventional wisdom regarding Japan’s grim prospects, and highlights how foreign investors are making the most of exciting opportunities in Tokyo. He also reveals how readers themselves, whether institutional money managers or individual investors, can profit from Japan’s economic rebirth.

 

The Japanese Money Tree reflects Shipley’s 15 years “on the ground” in Japan, sharing actual experiences of foreign investors operating there. Shipley uncovers immense intellectual property value hidden “off the books” in Japanese firms, and explores enormous private equity and hedge fund opportunities emerging in Japan. You’ll find new insights into Japan’s trading relationships with China, its demographic realities, its new real estate boom, and much more.

 

Throughout, Shipley offers fresh research and innovative strategies—all brought together in today’s most insightful and compellingly readable guide to investing in Japan.

 

Japan: the world’s best investment value

Why smart global investors are rediscovering Japanese markets

 

Incredible IP, on the cheap

Unveiling the immense hidden strengths of Japanese firms

 

The art of cultural arbitrage

How foreign hedge funds are discovering breakthrough opportunities in Japan

 

Birthrates and Bushido

Uncovering the surprising opportunities in Japan’s coming demographic shifts

 

The birth of high-speed capitalism

How structural reforms are leading to stronger, more profitable enterprises

 

 

Back Flap

 

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Andrew H. Shipley has worked as an economist at Lehman Brothers Japan, Credit Suisse First Boston Securities (Japan), Schroders Japan, and Westdeutsche Landesbank Girozentrale (West LB). He received a Japanese government scholarship when studying for his master’s degree in at Waseda University in Tokyo. He lived in Japan for fifteen years.

 

Shipley has appeared on CNBC, CNN, and Reuters Financial TV to discuss the outlook for the Japanese financial markets. His writing has also appeared on the Asian Wall Street Journal op-ed page, and in Institutional Investor, The Nikkei Weekly, and The Daily Yomiuri.

 

 

 

 

Back Cover

 

"Andrew Shipley has written an enlightening, insightful and extremely readable book on how the investment and new finance opportunities of post-bubble, post-deflation Japan are being pursued.  This book is “must” reading for any student, practitioner, or professional money manager interested in contemporary Japan." 

-Allen Sinai, Chief Global Economist, Strategist & President, Decision Economics, Inc. 

 

“Japan’s stock market is in the midst of a huge transition from cheap,

cash-rich companies to growth stocks with unrecognized assets (patents etc). This book clearly sets out what’s at stake.”

—Leslie Norton, Barron’s

 

“It’s hard to find anything more insightful or a better update on what’s been happening in Japan than The Japanese Money Tree. Shipley punctuates his insights with a lot of interesting, authoritative statements from key players. I highly recommend this book especially to the non-specialist reader who wonders ‘what might I be missing about Japan?’”

—Frank Jennings, portfolio manager of the Global Opportunities Fund at Oppenheimer Funds

 

“Andrew Shipley provides a highly readable account of the new Japan that is finally emerging from a “lost decade” of stagnation, deflation, banking failure, and other problems. Rather than dwelling on faceless statistics, he brings us interviews and stories from the front lines of the economy, where companies and entrepreneurs-both Japanese and foreign-are busily engaged in activities that would have been difficult or impossible only a decade ago. While he provides notes of caution when due, this is a tale of exciting new business opportunities that Americans should learn about.”

—Edward J. Lincoln, Director, Center for Japan-U.S. Business and Economic Studies, Stern School of Business, New York University

 

“Andrew Shipley has all the tools to assess where and how to make money in Japan’s often opaque economy. Part analyst, part financial advisor, part historian, he unravels the complex relationships that have often confounded foreign investors yet hold promise for those willing to focus on Japan. His analysis is born out of experience as a leading economist in Japan, where he worked hard to make connections that others failed to see. The Japanese Money Tree is for anyone looking to tap Japan’s ample resources.”

—Ken Belson, The New York Times (formerly in Japan)

 

 

CONTENTS

Introduction and Executive Summary xv

Chapter 1 From ultimate capital destruction machine to the best value in the world

Japan returns to favor among global investors 1

Chapter 2 Intellectual property wars

Investors to increasingly focus on the hidden strengths of Japanese firms 25

Chapter 3 Cultural arbitrage

Foreign hedge funds pursue opportunities in Japan 57

Chapter 4 The future of Japanese management

Private equity firms lead Japanese restructuring efforts 85

Chapter 5 Barbarians at the Genkan

Japan’s fledgling M & A market yet to internationalize 107

Chapter 6 The Manhattan of Asia

Tokyo experiences stunning urban renaissance 133

Chapter 7 Birthrates and Bushido

Market watchers see surprising opportunities in upcoming demographic shifts 163

Chapter 8 The Chinese paradox

Japanese firms face conundrum in crucial Chinese market 197

Chapter 9 High-speed capitalism

Structural reforms lead to stronger firms, more investment opportunities 219

Index 247

 

Japan is back. The dark days of the 1990s and early 2000s are history: Japan's corporate giants, bolstered by a massive economic restructuring, are suddenly outperforming all major markets. The world's smartest financiers are rediscovering Japan, and uncovering remarkable investment opportunities there. In The Japanese Money Tree, Andrew Shipley takes you inside the new Japanese economy, and presents innovative strategies for finding value in Japanese markets. Shipley reveals the true impact of the Koziumi policy reforms, illuminates Japan's surprising demographic realities, and outlines the implications of Japan's growing role as a regional leader. You'll discover how to cherry-pick Japanese investments with undervalued intangible assets, leverage emerging private equity and hedge funds, even get in on the new Japanese real estate boom. Whether you're a professional investor, money manager, or sophisticated individual investor, The Japanese Money Tree opens new investment opportunities you simply can't afford to miss.

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ErrorLocation Error Correction DateAdded
pi “Andrew Shipley provides a highly readable account of the new Japan that is finally emerging from a “lost decade” of stagnation, deflation, banking failure, and other problems. While he provides notes of caution when due, this is a tale of exciting new business opportunities that Americans should learn about.”
—Edward J. Lincoln, Director, Center for Japan-U.S. Business and
Economic Studies, Stern School of Business, New York University
delete, on back cover already. 3/18/2008
pv Logo and para delete
fixed 3/18/2008
pvi Vice President, Editor-in-Chief: Tim Moore
Executive Editor: Jim Boyd
Series Editor: Bob Webb
Editorial Assistant: Susie Abraham
Development Editor: Russ Hall
Associate Editor-in-Chief and Director of Marketing: Amy Neidlinger
Publicist: Amy Fandrei

Logo deleted
ISBN-13 added
Vice President, Publisher: Tim Moore
Associate Publisher and Director of Marketing: Amy Neidlinger
Executive Editor: Jim Boyd
Series Editor: Bob Webb
Editorial Assistant: Susie Abraham
Development Editor: Russ Hall
Marketing Coordinator: Megan Colvin

ISBN-13: 978-0-13-234390-9
3/18/2008
piv FT Press statement deleted and moved to p268
fixed 3/18/2008
pix Contents page: add leader points
fixed 3/18/2008
pxv This old Japanese proverb reflects the enigmatic nature of Japanese markets.
This old Japanese proverb reflects the enigmatic nature of the country’s markets. 3/18/2008
pxix Civil society is Japan is also found to be rapidly evolving.
Civil society in Japan is also found to be rapidly evolving. 3/18/2008
p3 Poggius’ words as he surveyed Roman ruins on the Capitoline Hill in the fifteenth century resonate strongly in Tokyo in the wake of the disastrous ’90s. The words of Poggius as he surveyed Roman ruins on the Capitoline Hill in the fifteenth century resonate strongly in Tokyo in the wake of the disastrous ’90s. 3/18/2008
p14 Rising capacity ulization rates and increasing returns on investment point to renewed demand for such spending. Rising capacity utilization rates and increasing returns on investment point to renewed demand for such spending. 3/18/2008
p19 The bureaucracy in Kasumigaseki has been deeply suspicious regarding the reliability of markets to allocate resources fairly since the early 1950s. indent paragraph 3/18/2008
p29 The no. 1 patent holder in the United States, IBM, had a PBR of 4.34; no. 2, Canon, Inc., had a PBR of only 2.57. The no. 1 patent recipient in the United States in 2005, IBM, had a PBR of 4.34; no. 2, Canon, Inc., had a PBR of only 2.57. 3/18/2008
p29 Japan will require the application of a new accounting standard for business combinations from April 2006, similar to IFRS and U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), notes Suzuki. Japan will require the application of a new accounting standard for business combinations from April 2006, similar to IFRS and U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), said Suzuki. 3/18/2008
p30 Over the last 10 years or so, Japanese firms have restructured, struggling with debt and financial weakness, and tried to consolidate their businesses. Over the last 10 years, Japanese firms have restructured, struggling with debt and financial weakness, and tried to consolidate their businesses. 3/18/2008
p31 The Japan Patent Office opened in 1885, four years before the adoption of the Meiji Constitution. The predecessor of the Japan Patent Office opened in 1885, four years before the adoption of the Meiji Constitution. 3/19/2008
p31 Some firms, such as Hitachi, worked hard to improve basic technologies, notes Arai in Intellectual Property Policies for the... Some firms, such as Hitachi, worked hard to improve basic technologies, wrote Arai in Intellectual Property Policies for the... 3/19/2008
p35 Ten years ago, Japanese firms obtained patents but never enforced them, notes Takenaka at the University of Washington. Ten years ago, Japanese firms obtained patents but never enforced them, said Takenaka at the University of Washington. 3/19/2008
p36 “We don’t like to litigate if we can settle amicably on any dispute,” notes Masanobu Katoh of Fujitsu. “We don’t like to litigate if we can settle amicably on any dispute,” said Masanobu Katoh of Fujitsu. 3/19/2008
p55 “Those that do include Toshiba Corp ….” Sumita, Takyuki. Intellectual Assets & Management Reporting. METI, handout. June 2005. See esp. p. 3. “Those that do include Toshiba Corp ….” Sumita, Takayuki. Intellectual Assets & Management Reporting. METI, handout. June 2005. See esp. p. 3. 3/19/2008
p129 “Negotiations between two firms were rough ….” Nikkei Net
Interactive. Nihon Keizai Shimbun, Inc. “Megamerger (4): UFJ-Sumitomo Trust Talks Faced Many Difficulties.” 18 August 2004.

Nikkei Net
Interactive should be in italic.
“Negotiations between two firms were rough ….” Nikkei Net
Interactive. Nihon Keizai Shimbun, Inc. “Megamerger (4): UFJ-Sumitomo Trust Talks Faced Many Difficulties.” 18 August 2004.

fixed
3/19/2008
p152 ...urban areas have often acted as fertile breeding grounds for new intellectual movements. ...urban areas have often acted as fecund soil for the cultivation of new intellectual movements. 3/19/2008
p153 However, Nakayama is anticipating that Tokyo Mid-town will not just be a collection of office and apartment buildings that provide a steady stream of rents to project investors, (including the National Mutual Insurance Federation of Agricultural Cooperatives; Yasuda Mutual Life Insurance Company; Sekisui House, Ltd.; Fukoku Mutual Life Insurance Company; and Daido Life Insurance Company). However, Nakayama is anticipating that Tokyo Mid-town will not just be a collection of office and apartment buildings that provide a steady stream of rents to project investors. Investors include the National Mutual Insurance Federation of Agricultural Cooperatives; Yasuda Mutual Life Insurance Company; Sekisui House, Ltd.; Fukoku Mutual Life Insurance Company; and Daido Life Insurance Company. 3/19/2008
p267-268 Safari ad removed and FT Ad replaced with FT Statement fixed 3/19/2008

 
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